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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 βœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 58.7% 41.3% - βœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (114-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 43 12-20 5-9 4-6 7 3 1 2 33 - -
Norman Powell * 38 8-15 2-6 8-9 2 4 2 1 26 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 5-12 1-3 0-0 9 2 2 1 11 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 8-19 4-8 8-8 5 6 1 0 28 - -
Patrick McCaw * 33 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 28 5-12 2-5 7-8 15 0 2 1 19 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Matt Thomas 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 38 5-14 0-0 3-4 14 1 1 3 13 - -
Devin Booker * 37 5-14 2-8 10-12 4 10 1 0 22 - -
Mikal Bridges * 36 5-10 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Ricky Rubio * 35 5-11 2-4 4-4 4 10 1 0 16 - -
Dario Šarić * 22 6-8 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Cameron Johnson 33 7-16 5-13 2-2 4 2 1 3 21 - -
Jevon Carter 21 5-9 1-3 0-1 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Elie Okobo 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -

* = starter