Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (107-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 28 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dion Waiters | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 10 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| JR Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 12-15 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 33 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 24 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter