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2020-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% -
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% -
Points Off/Def 24.0% 76.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (137-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 5-13 3-6 10-12 10 7 1 1 23 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 5-12 2-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 15 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 7-12 4-5 4-4 0 5 1 0 22 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 25 6-11 2-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 15 - -
Josh Okogie * 22 3-6 0-3 3-3 3 1 0 0 9 - -
James Johnson 27 2-5 2-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 8 - -
Jarrett Culver 21 5-11 2-4 3-4 3 0 1 1 15 - -
Allen Crabbe 16 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 5 2 1 3 - -
Naz Reid 9 2-5 1-1 3-3 3 0 0 1 8 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 40 9-16 4-7 5-6 7 11 1 2 27 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 5-13 2-7 4-4 2 7 3 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 14-21 6-8 0-1 6 5 2 1 34 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 10-13 3-4 2-2 12 3 3 1 25 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 33 8-13 0-2 5-8 6 1 3 0 21 - -
Patrick McCaw 25 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 2 3 0 5 - -
Terence Davis 15 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 13 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter