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2020-08-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% -
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 28 5-16 1-7 3-4 7 2 2 0 14 - -
Norman Powell * 26 7-13 4-5 3-5 8 1 2 3 21 - -
OG Anunoby * 24 2-6 0-2 3-4 4 5 1 0 7 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 8 0 1 0 - -
Terence Davis * 16 5-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Matt Thomas 37 9-17 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 22 - -
Chris Boucher 29 9-15 3-7 4-5 11 2 2 2 25 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 26 4-9 0-4 3-4 5 5 1 0 11 - -
Paul Watson 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Stanley Johnson 10 0-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 30 4-11 1-3 2-7 7 8 0 1 11 - -
Khris Middleton * 25 6-12 0-2 5-5 4 3 0 0 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 4-11 1-5 3-3 1 1 0 1 12 - -
Pat Connaughton * 21 4-8 2-6 2-2 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Wesley Matthews * 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 2-9 0-3 2-2 9 1 1 1 6 - -
Kyle Korver 22 5-6 5-6 4-4 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Marvin Williams 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 - -
George Hill 19 5-11 4-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 14 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 18 2-7 0-3 5-6 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Robin Lopez 15 0-2 0-0 1-4 4 1 0 1 1 - -
D.J. Wilson 7 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Sterling Brown 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter