Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (113-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 38 | 13-21 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 24 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 5-17 | 0-7 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 37 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-12 | 10-10 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 29 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 35 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 6-16 | 3-12 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 32 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 23 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Dragan Bender | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter