Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 40 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 7-27 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 29 | 9-18 | 8-17 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 26 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 41 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 23 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 17 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter