Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (97-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 16 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 41 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 2-15 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter