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Phoenix Suns

Also known as: Phoenix Suns
Program History

2016 Team Stats (69 games)

100.7
PPG
107.2
Opp
-6.6
Margin
43.4%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
44.9
RPG
20.9
APG
16.9
TO
101.1
Est. poss./game
99.5
Adj PPG
105.7
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 864 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 828 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 921 (#27) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -6.3 (#27) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +5.0 More โ†’ -6.6 (#27) HCA +5.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.324 (#27) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.332 (#27) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.332 (#27) AdjNet -6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.5 | AdjD 105.7 More โ†’ 0.361 (#27) AdjO 99.5 | AdjD 105.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 99.2 | AdjD 104.6 More โ†’ 0.380 (#27) AdjO 99.2 | AdjD 104.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.340 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.344 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 275 | GP 82 More โ†’ 870 (#27) RD 275 | GP 82

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-10-28 vs Dallas Mavericks L 95 - 111
2015-10-30 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 110 - 92
2015-10-31 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 101 - 90
2015-11-02 @ LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2015-11-04 vs Sacramento Kings W 118 - 97
2015-11-06 vs Detroit Pistons L 92 - 100
2015-11-08 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 103 - 124
2015-11-12 vs LA Clippers W 118 - 104
2015-11-14 vs Denver Nuggets W 105 - 81
2015-11-16 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 120 - 101
2015-11-20 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2015-11-22 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 116 - 122
2015-11-23 @ San Antonio Spurs L 84 - 98
2015-11-25 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2015-11-29 @ Toronto Raptors W 107 - 102
2015-12-01 @ Brooklyn Nets L 91 - 94
2015-12-02 @ Detroit Pistons L 122 - 127
2015-12-04 @ Washington Wizards L 106 - 109
2015-12-06 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 93 - 95
2015-12-07 @ Chicago Bulls W 103 - 101
2015-12-09 vs Orlando Magic W 107 - 104
2015-12-11 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 96 - 106
2015-12-13 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 108 - 101
2015-12-14 @ Dallas Mavericks L 94 - 104
2015-12-16 @ Golden State Warriors L 103 - 128
2015-12-18 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 104 - 88
2015-12-20 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 95 - 101
2015-12-21 @ Utah Jazz L 89 - 110
2015-12-23 vs Denver Nuggets L 96 - 104
2015-12-26 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2015-12-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 97 - 101
2015-12-30 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2015-12-31 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 106 - 110
2016-01-02 @ Sacramento Kings L 119 - 142
2016-01-03 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 77 - 97
2016-01-06 vs Charlotte Hornets W 111 - 102
2016-01-08 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2016-01-12 @ Indiana Pacers L 97 - 116
2016-01-15 @ Boston Celtics L 103 - 117
2016-01-17 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 87 - 117
2016-01-19 vs Indiana Pacers L 94 - 97
2016-01-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 89 - 117
2016-01-23 vs Atlanta Hawks W 98 - 95
2016-01-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 103 - 113
2016-01-27 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 93 - 115
2016-01-29 @ New York Knicks L 84 - 102
2016-01-31 @ Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2016-02-02 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2016-02-04 vs Houston Rockets L 105 - 111
2016-02-06 vs Utah Jazz L 89 - 98
2016-02-08 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 106 - 122
2016-02-10 vs Golden State Warriors L 104 - 112
2016-02-19 vs Houston Rockets L 100 - 116
2016-02-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 111 - 118
2016-02-22 @ LA Clippers L 84 - 124
2016-02-25 vs Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2016-02-27 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2016-03-01 @ Charlotte Hornets L 92 - 126
2016-03-03 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 108
2016-03-04 @ Orlando Magic W 102 - 84
2016-03-06 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 109 - 100
2016-03-09 vs New York Knicks L 97 - 128
2016-03-10 @ Denver Nuggets L 98 - 116
2016-03-12 @ Golden State Warriors L 116 - 123
2016-03-14 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 107 - 104
2016-03-17 @ Utah Jazz L 69 - 103
2016-03-18 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 95 - 90
2016-03-21 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 97 - 103
2016-03-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2016-03-25 @ Sacramento Kings L 94 - 116
2016-03-26 vs Boston Celtics L 99 - 102
2016-03-28 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 116 - 121
2016-03-30 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 94 - 105
2016-04-01 vs Washington Wizards L 99 - 106
2016-04-03 vs Utah Jazz L 86 - 101
2016-04-05 @ Atlanta Hawks L 90 - 103
2016-04-07 @ Houston Rockets W 124 - 115
2016-04-09 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 121 - 100
2016-04-11 vs Sacramento Kings L 101 - 105
2016-04-13 vs LA Clippers W 114 - 105

2016 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eric Bledsoe Eric Bledsoe G 25 34.8 21.2 4.4 6.4 2.2 0.6 3.6 16.0 15.0 - - - - 46.1 37.1 80.1 - 56.7 51.0
Brandon Knight Brandon Knight G 43 35.8 18.9 3.7 4.8 1.1 0.4 3.6 16.7 8.7 - - - - 41.5 34.8 87.2 - 52.4 48.6
Devin Booker Devin Booker G 64 27.8 13.8 2.4 2.8 0.6 0.2 2.2 11.5 6.2 - - - - 42.1 33.9 86.2 - 53.4 47.5
Mirza Teletovic G 66 21.7 12.3 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.1 10.0 7.0 - - - - 42.5 39.0 78.3 - 56.7 53.9
Markieff Morris Markieff Morris F 28 24.6 11.7 5.2 2.2 0.9 0.5 2.4 11.7 6.4 - - - - 39.0 30.9 77.5 - 45.7 41.6
T.J. Warren T.J. Warren F 40 23.1 11.1 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.8 9.5 6.2 - - - - 49.9 41.0 69.6 - 54.8 53.2
Kris Humphries Kris Humphries F 3 21.1 9.7 7.3 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 9.0 11.3 - - - - 37.0 33.3 75.0 - 47.5 42.6
Alex Len Alex Len G 65 24.7 9.5 8.0 1.4 0.5 0.8 2.0 8.5 9.6 - - - - 41.9 14.3 74.6 - 48.0 42.0
Archie Goodwin G 48 19.5 9.2 2.6 2.1 0.5 0.2 1.9 7.6 5.1 - - - - 42.6 22.8 67.3 - 50.7 45.5
Jon Leuer F 55 18.9 8.6 5.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 7.1 8.2 - - - - 48.2 35.3 76.1 - 55.3 52.1
P.J. Tucker P.J. Tucker F 69 30.6 8.0 6.2 2.1 1.3 0.3 1.4 7.1 9.4 - - - - 41.3 33.9 74.6 - 50.9 47.5
Orlando Johnson - 2 23.7 8.0 4.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 8.5 6.0 - - - - 29.4 20.0 83.3 - 40.7 32.4
Tyson Chandler C 55 24.6 7.1 8.7 1.0 0.5 0.7 1.5 4.7 11.9 - - - - 56.8 0.0 64.1 - 60.1 56.8
Jordan McRae - 5 13.5 6.2 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.0 - - - - 45.5 37.5 72.7 - 57.7 52.3
John Jenkins G 19 14.2 5.4 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 4.4 3.6 - - - - 46.4 38.7 80.0 - 56.3 53.6
Ronnie Price G 53 19.8 5.0 1.7 2.4 1.2 0.2 1.2 4.8 4.6 - - - - 36.6 32.9 75.8 - 49.2 47.0
Cory Jefferson - 5 8.4 3.6 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.6 2.6 - - - - 38.9 0 66.7 - 43.6 38.9
Chase Budinger F 16 12.2 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.8 - - - - 51.1 23.5 62.5 - 56.7 55.6
Alan Williams G 10 6.8 2.9 3.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 2.4 5.1 - - - - 41.7 0 64.3 - 48.1 41.7
Sonny Weems - 29 11.8 2.8 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.4 2.1 - - - - 44.3 40.7 53.8 - 52.8 52.1
Lorenzo Brown - 8 7.6 2.5 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.0 - - - - 32.0 12.5 75.0 - 37.4 34.0
Phil Pressey - 7 11.7 1.7 0.9 3.0 0.7 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.1 - - - - 29.4 0.0 40.0 - 31.2 29.4
Bryce Cotton - 2 5.7 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2015-2016 Shot Zones

2080 located field-goal attempts in 24 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Chandler18% Booker23% Booker39% Len38% Booker33% Tucker42% Booker28% Teletovic35% Teletovic33% Teletovic34%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Len22% Len28% Booker29% Len38% Booker37% Tucker33% Tucker35% Booker27% Teletovic38% Booker26%
Misses: who misses most here

Devin BookerMirza TeletovicAlex LenP.J. TuckerTyson Chandler

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 412-689 59.8 824 Tyson Chandler 18% (146 pts) Alex Len 15% (124 pts) Alex Len 22% (60 misses) P.J. Tucker 18% (50 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 100-271 36.9 200 Devin Booker 23% (46 pts) Mirza Teletovic 17% (34 pts) Alex Len 28% (48 misses) Devin Booker 19% (33 misses)
Mid-range left 59-179 33.0 118 Devin Booker 39% (46 pts) Mirza Teletovic 20% (24 pts) Devin Booker 29% (35 misses) Alex Len 21% (25 misses)
Mid-range center 34-92 37.0 68 Alex Len 38% (26 pts) Devin Booker 29% (20 pts) Alex Len 38% (22 misses) Devin Booker 16% (9 misses)
Mid-range right 75-190 39.5 150 Devin Booker 33% (50 pts) Mirza Teletovic 13% (20 pts) Devin Booker 37% (42 misses) Alex Len 17% (19 misses)
Left corner 3 24-78 30.8 72 P.J. Tucker 42% (30 pts) Ronnie Price 29% (21 pts) P.J. Tucker 33% (18 misses) Ronnie Price 15% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 25-76 32.9 75 Devin Booker 28% (21 pts) John Jenkins 20% (15 pts) P.J. Tucker 35% (18 misses) Ronnie Price 20% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 51-164 31.1 153 Mirza Teletovic 35% (54 pts) Brandon Knight 20% (30 pts) Devin Booker 27% (30 misses) Mirza Teletovic 19% (21 misses)
Above-break 3 center 48-152 31.6 144 Mirza Teletovic 33% (48 pts) Devin Booker 21% (30 pts) Mirza Teletovic 38% (39 misses) Brandon Knight 17% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 right 64-189 33.9 192 Mirza Teletovic 34% (66 pts) Brandon Knight 20% (39 pts) Devin Booker 26% (33 misses) Mirza Teletovic 26% (32 misses)