Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (116-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 44 | 12-24 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alex Len * | 32 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 18 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Knight | 24 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 17 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Phil Pressey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Mudiay * | 34 | 13-20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 29 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Will Barton | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Axel Toupane | 14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter