Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (107-104). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Victor Oladipo | 28 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Gordon | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mario Hezonja | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jason Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Alex Len * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 28 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Devin Booker | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter