Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.5% | 7.5% | -13.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -28 (89-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray McCallum * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 22 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| David West * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Danny Green * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Boban Marjanovic | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Alex Len * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 32 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Cory Jefferson | 17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter