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2016-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (105-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Len * 39 8-13 0-0 1-2 15 5 0 2 2 17 24 -
P.J. Tucker * 39 7-14 0-2 6-6 10 7 3 0 2 20 24 -
Devin Booker * 38 8-16 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 7 18 3 -
Brandon Knight * 36 5-16 2-8 5-6 2 2 0 0 5 17 0 -
Tyson Chandler * 34 6-8 0-0 1-1 13 3 0 2 3 13 20 -
Ronnie Price 21 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 7 2 -
Jon Leuer 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Chase Budinger 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
John Jenkins 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Archie Goodwin 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Parker * 36 6-10 0-1 9-11 5 3 4 0 2 21 21 -
Khris Middleton * 33 10-16 3-4 3-3 7 1 0 0 2 26 16 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 3-5 1-1 3-8 3 6 0 1 2 10 13 -
Greg Monroe * 27 5-12 0-1 4-4 5 4 2 2 1 14 14 -
Jerryd Bayless * 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
Rashad Vaughn 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 3 1 1 8 7 -
John Henson 23 3-9 0-0 4-6 5 2 1 4 1 10 12 -
Tyler Ennis 22 4-7 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
Miles Plumlee 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
Greivis Vasquez 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 4 -

* = starter