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2015-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (124-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 37 10-15 2-2 6-7 2 11 0 0 2 28 24 -
Markieff Morris * 33 7-20 0-1 5-6 5 0 1 0 3 19 2 -
Brandon Knight * 32 6-14 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 14 -2 -
Tyson Chandler * 24 0-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 2 1 5 -
P.J. Tucker * 21 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
T.J. Warren 23 7-10 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 17 7 -
Alex Len 20 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 2 0 2 8 10 -
Archie Goodwin 14 1-2 0-1 1-4 2 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
Jon Leuer 11 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 2 -
Devin Booker 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Ronnie Price 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
Mirza Teletovic 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Serge Ibaka * 36 5-12 0-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Russell Westbrook * 33 9-20 0-3 3-4 6 13 4 0 2 21 22 -
Kevin Durant * 31 12-19 2-5 6-7 11 4 3 0 2 32 29 -
Andre Roberson * 22 3-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
Steven Adams * 19 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 5 2 7 10 -
Enes Freedom 28 9-10 0-0 3-3 7 1 0 1 2 21 18 -
Dion Waiters 24 6-9 2-3 5-6 0 2 3 1 0 19 16 -
Kyle Singler 15 1-5 0-3 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D.J. Augustin 13 0-2 0-2 2-4 1 4 3 0 2 2 6 -
Mitch McGary 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
Cameron Payne 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter