Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (104-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Len * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyson Chandler | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devin Booker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chandler Parsons | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Devin Harris | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
* = starter