Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | +10.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (102-107). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 38 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Alex Len * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 22 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 22 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 18 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarre Carroll * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 32 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Johnson | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter