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2015-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.9% 14.1% - โœ“
Margin 86.9% 13.1% -10.4 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.8% 28.2% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 4-10 1-5 5-9 4 7 2 1 2 14 16 -
Tristan Thompson * 31 2-3 0-0 1-3 10 0 0 0 1 5 11 -
JR Smith * 30 5-11 5-11 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 17 9 -
Kevin Love * 25 6-11 3-6 1-1 7 4 0 0 1 16 15 -
Kyrie Irving * 24 7-16 2-7 6-6 1 2 1 0 1 22 9 -
Matthew Dellavedova 24 2-4 2-2 2-2 1 5 1 0 4 8 7 -
Iman Shumpert 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 5 3 -
Richard Jefferson 19 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 0 1 4 1 7 8 -
Timofey Mozgov 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 4 7 -
James Jones 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Tucker * 38 6-11 2-3 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 14 12 -
Brandon Knight * 37 7-18 2-6 2-2 3 4 1 0 3 18 5 -
Devin Booker * 29 5-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 10 7 -
Jon Leuer * 25 4-8 2-3 4-4 6 4 1 1 2 14 16 -
Alex Len * 24 1-5 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
T.J. Warren 27 9-15 4-5 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 23 14 -
Tyson Chandler 22 1-3 0-0 4-8 8 2 0 0 2 6 11 -
Ronnie Price 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 -
Mirza Teletovic 11 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Sonny Weems 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter