Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (127-122). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 40 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 39 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 8-21 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Alex Len * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 39 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Devin Booker | 22 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Jefferson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 46 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 6-17 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 41 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 39 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 31 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Steve Blake | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter