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2015-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (92-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 39 7-14 2-4 4-6 6 2 2 0 1 20 15 -
Andre Drummond * 36 5-9 0-0 2-13 17 0 2 1 3 12 20 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 8-10 1-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 18 11 -
Reggie Jackson * 30 8-18 1-4 6-8 6 7 0 1 4 23 15 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 21 2-6 1-3 1-1 4 0 1 1 2 6 4 -
Anthony Tolliver 25 1-5 1-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Stanley Johnson 22 2-5 0-2 1-3 5 2 1 0 3 5 5 -
Steve Blake 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
Aron Baynes 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 4 5 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight * 38 8-19 3-9 3-4 2 3 1 2 2 22 9 -
Eric Bledsoe * 37 9-23 2-6 2-3 2 4 3 0 4 22 4 -
Tyson Chandler * 34 2-3 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 4 11 -
P.J. Tucker * 33 2-4 1-2 0-0 10 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
Markieff Morris * 30 9-21 0-4 0-2 4 2 1 0 3 18 1 -
T.J. Warren 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Jon Leuer 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Ronnie Price 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
Alex Len 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 4 7 -
Mirza Teletovic 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Sonny Weems 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter