Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +14 (117-103). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 40 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 21 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 38 | 7-21 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 32 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 26 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Evan Turner | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| RJ Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter