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2016-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Margin 2.9% 97.1% +19.3 โœ“ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 7-19 0-5 4-5 0 11 0 1 0 18 11 -
Brandon Knight * 37 11-20 7-12 1-1 6 7 1 1 6 30 19 -
Alex Len * 31 10-18 0-0 6-7 13 3 0 0 4 26 20 -
Tyson Chandler * 29 6-9 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 1 1 12 19 -
P.J. Tucker * 26 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Mirza Teletovic 26 5-11 2-6 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
Ronnie Price 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Chase Budinger 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Jon Leuer 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Archie Goodwin 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 4 0 0 0 5 9 -
John Jenkins 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 37 5-12 1-5 8-10 4 6 2 1 3 19 17 -
Klay Thompson * 37 6-17 3-8 5-5 6 3 1 0 0 20 13 -
Harrison Barnes * 35 3-7 0-3 2-2 9 4 0 0 1 8 13 -
Stephen Curry * 34 12-24 7-16 4-4 3 6 0 0 1 35 19 -
Andrew Bogut * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 4 0 4 11 -
Shaun Livingston 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 6 1 1 0 7 14 -
Leandro Barbosa 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 0 2 8 -
Marreese Speights 17 10-14 0-1 5-6 9 0 2 1 0 25 23 -
Brandon Rush 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Anderson Varejao 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
Ian Clark 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter