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2015-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 โœ— (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +24 (105-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 26 3-9 0-5 1-1 1 0 1 1 2 7 -1 -
Emmanuel Mudiay * 24 6-18 1-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 13 -1 -
Danilo Gallinari * 23 2-12 1-5 3-3 4 2 0 1 0 8 3 -
JJ Hickson * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Kenneth Faried * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 2 5 -
Will Barton 36 8-16 3-6 0-0 12 4 2 1 1 19 21 -
Jameer Nelson 25 2-11 0-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 6 -5 -
Randy Foye 22 4-13 0-4 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 8 -1 -
Kostas Papanikolaou 19 4-7 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 4 10 -
Darrell Arthur 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Mike Miller 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 29 11-16 3-4 5-5 7 4 2 0 3 30 24 -
P.J. Tucker * 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 4 8 -
Tyson Chandler * 24 5-6 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 1 1 11 14 -
Brandon Knight * 22 4-12 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 3 10 -3 -
Jon Leuer * 18 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Mirza Teletovic 29 3-10 3-7 2-2 9 3 0 0 2 11 11 -
Archie Goodwin 28 4-7 1-2 3-5 5 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
T.J. Warren 17 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
Alex Len 16 0-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Devin Booker 14 2-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
Sonny Weems 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Cory Jefferson 5 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter