Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -6 (97-103). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Barnes * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ray McCallum * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| JaMychal Green | 22 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Vince Carter | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Munford | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jarell Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 35 | 4-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Alex Len * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| John Jenkins | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter