Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | -1.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -6 (105-111). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 4-19 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 24 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 22 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Clint Capela | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 8 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 41 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Alex Len | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 19 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan McRae | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter