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2016-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 โœ— (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic -18 (84-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ronnie Price * 44 6-10 2-4 0-0 5 4 5 1 2 14 17 -
Alex Len * 35 10-22 0-1 11-14 15 0 1 2 4 31 23 -
Devin Booker * 32 4-11 0-0 6-8 4 6 0 1 2 14 12 -
P.J. Tucker * 31 2-5 1-1 2-4 7 4 1 0 2 7 12 -
Tyson Chandler * 23 4-8 0-0 2-5 12 0 1 1 3 10 13 -
Mirza Teletovic 26 2-10 2-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
John Jenkins 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
Archie Goodwin 16 4-6 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 10 7 -
Jon Leuer 9 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elfrid Payton * 34 9-17 1-3 0-2 2 11 3 0 3 19 15 -
Mario Hezonja * 33 5-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 12 9 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 29 7-19 0-0 1-2 12 0 3 1 1 15 11 -
Evan Fournier * 25 4-9 2-5 2-4 2 0 2 0 2 12 5 -
Aaron Gordon * 15 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
C.J. Watson 24 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
Ersan Ilyasova 19 2-14 0-3 1-2 12 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
Devyn Marble 15 0-6 0-3 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
Brandon Jennings 13 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jason Smith 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Dewayne Dedmon 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
Andrew Nicholson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shabazz Napier 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter