Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | -8.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.7% | 11.3% | -11.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -16 (106-122). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Waiters * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 11-21 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 45 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 42 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alex Len | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 20 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McRae | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter