Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.8% | 8.2% | -13.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 16 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 15 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ian Clark | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevon Looney | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 45 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 41 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 28 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 27 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 19 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Alex Len | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter