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2016-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ—
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 โœ— (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (100-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 42 8-17 4-11 7-7 2 9 1 1 3 27 20 -
Ronnie Price * 35 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
Alex Len * 34 5-12 0-0 9-13 16 6 1 2 3 19 29 -
Tyson Chandler * 32 8-11 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 16 14 -
P.J. Tucker * 30 2-4 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 3 6 10 -
Archie Goodwin 20 3-6 1-3 1-4 1 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
Mirza Teletovic 20 6-11 4-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 18 8 -
Jon Leuer 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 4 9 -
John Jenkins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Phil Pressey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Barnes * 33 6-11 4-6 1-2 5 3 0 2 1 17 15 -
Zach Randolph * 31 3-10 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
Mike Conley * 29 7-13 3-5 5-6 1 4 2 0 1 22 15 -
PJ Hairston * 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Chris Andersen * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Mario Chalmers 28 4-13 1-4 5-5 1 3 2 0 1 14 6 -
Vince Carter 23 1-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
Lance Stephenson 23 4-11 1-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
JaMychal Green 23 5-7 0-1 7-10 5 2 0 0 1 17 16 -
Ryan Hollins 12 0-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Jarell Martin 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter