🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2012 Team Stats (29 games)

80.6
PPG
67.1
Opp
+14.2
Margin
45.4%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
45.9
RPG
17.0
APG
12.1
TO
87.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1638 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1607 (#13) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +40.1 (#8) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.856 (#5) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.7 More → 0.919 (#8) NetEff +20.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#3) AdjNet +21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.1 More → 0.928 (#3) AdjNet +22.1

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Michigan State Spartans W 67 - 55
2011-11-13 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 91 - 75
2011-11-20 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 101 - 75
2011-11-22 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 102 - 69
2011-11-25 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 87 - 62
2011-11-26 vs UNLV Rebels L 80 - 90
2011-11-30 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 60 - 57
2011-12-03 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 72 - 73
2011-12-06 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 97 - 48
2011-12-10 vs Long Beach State Beach W 84 - 78
2011-12-17 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 97 - 82
2011-12-19 vs Nicholls Colonels W 99 - 49
2011-12-21 vs Texas Longhorns W 82 - 63
2011-12-29 vs Elon Phoenix W 100 - 62
2012-01-01 vs Monmouth Hawks W 102 - 65
2012-01-07 vs Boston College Eagles W 83 - 60
2012-01-10 vs Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 56
2012-01-14 @ Florida State Seminoles L 57 - 90
2012-01-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 82 - 68
2012-01-26 vs NC State Wolfpack W 74 - 55
2012-01-29 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 93 - 81
2012-01-31 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 68 - 53
2012-02-04 @ Maryland Terrapins W 83 - 74
2012-02-08 vs Duke Blue Devils L 84 - 85
2012-02-11 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 70 - 52
2012-02-15 @ Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 64
2012-02-18 vs Clemson Tigers W 74 - 52
2012-02-21 @ NC State Wolfpack W 86 - 74
2012-02-25 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 54 - 51
2012-02-29 vs Maryland Terrapins W 88 - 64
2012-03-03 @ Duke Blue Devils W 88 - 70
2012-03-09 vs Maryland Terrapins W 85 - 69
2012-03-10 vs NC State Wolfpack W 69 - 67
2012-03-11 vs Florida State Seminoles L 82 - 85
2012-03-16 vs Vermont Catamounts W 77 - 58
2012-03-18 vs Creighton Bluejays W 87 - 73
2012-03-23 vs Ohio Bobcats W 73 - 65
2012-03-25 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 67 - 80

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Barnes H. Barnes F 38 29.2 17.1 5.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 1.9 11.6 11.3 - - - 44.0 36.5 73.5 - 63.8 48.8
T. Zeller T. Zeller F 38 28.2 16.3 9.6 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.9 9.0 18.4 - - - 56.6 0 82.3 - 73.4 56.6
C. Shegog C. Shegog - 3 0.0 16.0 9.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.0 12.3 18.7 - - - 51.4 0 47.6 - 51.9 51.4
J. Henson J. Henson F 35 29.1 13.7 9.9 1.3 0.6 2.9 1.3 10.6 16.5 - - - 50.1 0 52.9 - 56.6 50.1
B. Rountree B. Rountree - 3 0.0 12.3 3.7 2.7 2.0 0.0 3.3 8.0 9.3 - - - 54.2 45.5 100.0 - 69.4 64.6
L. Broomfield L. Broomfield - 1 0.0 10.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 12.0 9.0 - - - 41.7 0 0.0 - 36.3 41.7
S. White S. White - 2 0.0 9.5 3.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.5 7.5 - - - 36.8 30.0 100.0 - 47.8 44.7
R. Bullock Jr. R. Bullock Jr. G-F 38 25.4 8.8 5.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 1.0 6.6 8.5 20 4.0 2.0 43.7 40.0 68.8 1.51 64.7 56.7
K. Marshall K. Marshall G 36 33.0 8.1 2.6 9.8 1.2 0.2 2.8 4.9 14.1 - - - 46.1 33.9 68.0 - 69.4 52.0
D. Strickland D. Strickland G 19 24.3 7.5 2.1 2.1 1.3 0.2 1.4 4.3 7.4 - - - 57.3 0.0 66.7 - 72.6 57.3
J. McAdoo J. McAdoo F 38 15.6 6.1 3.9 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.8 4.2 6.5 - - - 43.0 0 66.2 - 59.9 43.0
K. Gross K. Gross - 3 0.0 5.7 6.0 1.7 1.7 2.3 1.7 7.0 8.7 - - - 33.3 25.0 66.7 - 38.1 35.7
P.J. Hairston P.J. Hairston G 37 13.0 5.7 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 4.4 4.1 - - - 27.0 22.1 84.4 - 58.0 34.7
C. Wood C. Wood - 2 0.0 5.5 1.5 4.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 8.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 30.0 0 - 34.4 34.4
T. Ruffin-Pratt T. Ruffin-Pratt - 1 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3
J. Watts J. Watts G 38 7.2 1.2 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 - - - 48.6 25.0 35.3 - 54.1 50.0
S. White S. White G 34 5.8 0.9 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 - - - 15.4 12.5 55.0 - 41.7 19.2
D. Hubert D. Hubert F 25 4.9 0.7 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.8 - - - 44.4 0 0.0 - 38.7 44.4
J. Simmons J. Simmons F 22 1.9 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 29 3.6 2.4 46.7 0 25.0 0.68 44.7 46.7
D. Dupont D. Dupont F 20 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 - - - 33.3 60.0 50.0 - 50.6 50.0
P. Crouch P. Crouch G 21 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 - - - 30.0 16.7 50.0 - 38.3 35.0
S. Cooper S. Cooper F 20 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 33.3 - 47.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG