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2012-01-31

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.9% 32.1% -
Margin 77.3% 22.7% -6.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 73.5% 26.5% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Log Adjusted 96.2% 3.8% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 35 5-11 2-5 2-2 1 6 3 1 1 14 13 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 33 2-11 1-5 1-1 5 1 1 1 1 6 2 -
J. Henson * 32 6-16 0-0 2-3 12 1 2 4 2 14 15 -
T. Zeller * 31 5-13 0-0 8-8 18 0 0 3 0 18 26 -
H. Barnes * 27 4-12 1-5 4-8 7 2 1 1 1 13 11 -
J. McAdoo 15 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
P.J. Hairston 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Watts 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Crouch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McKie * 36 2-11 0-3 4-5 13 0 0 2 2 8 10 -
C.J. Harris * 35 5-11 1-6 8-8 2 1 1 0 1 19 11 -
N. Mescheriakov * 27 3-10 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 6 0 -
T. Walker * 26 0-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 0 2 5 -
T. Chennault * 24 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 5 0 -
C. Fischer 22 1-7 0-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Green 15 0-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Desrosiers 12 3-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
R. Keenan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Godwin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Ingle 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter