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2012-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 8.1% 91.9% -
Margin 2.9% 97.1% +19.3 (0.3 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Voelkel * 33 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 0 3 -
S. Carissimo * 32 5-10 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 11 3 -
M. Glass * 22 5-10 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
B. Bald * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -2 -
L. Apfeld * 17 2-6 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
F. McGlynn 24 2-13 0-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 5 6 -6 -
C. Rugg 16 3-3 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 7 10 -
P. Bergmann 15 4-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
J. Elbaum 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
B. Crenca 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
R. McKeaney 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Santo 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Barnes * 33 5-12 1-3 3-3 6 0 3 1 2 14 10 -
K. Marshall * 31 5-7 1-1 0-1 2 10 1 0 3 11 14 -
T. Zeller * 29 4-9 0-0 9-10 15 2 1 4 3 17 27 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 28 2-9 2-6 1-2 3 0 3 1 0 7 5 -
J. McAdoo * 23 6-14 0-0 5-6 6 1 4 0 2 17 12 -
P.J. Hairston 15 3-9 1-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 -1 -
J. Watts 15 1-2 0-1 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
D. Hubert 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. White 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Crouch 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dupont 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter