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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 36 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 1 6 7 -
A. Young * 35 5-13 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 13 1 -
M. Jennings * 30 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 2 1 5 9 5 -
D. Booker * 27 4-9 0-1 1-1 9 2 1 1 3 9 10 -
B. Narcisse * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. McDaniels 15 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
C. Baciu 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
R. Hall 9 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
T.J. Sapp 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Coleman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Sullivan 5 0-2 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
C. Fields 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 35 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 13 1 0 3 4 12 -
H. Barnes * 31 9-18 3-6 3-4 7 2 2 0 3 24 14 -
J. Henson * 31 6-14 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 3 0 13 13 -
T. Zeller * 30 6-9 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 3 14 11 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 28 4-7 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 11 11 -
J. Watts 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
J. McAdoo 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Hubert 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
P.J. Hairston 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. White 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Crouch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter