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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% -
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.8 (13.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +38 (100-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hamilton * 29 4-11 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 9 0 -
L. Troutman * 27 5-12 0-0 1-2 10 1 3 3 0 11 16 -
S. Koch * 23 6-14 5-12 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 17 1 -
R. Beaumont * 19 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
D. Spradlin * 19 0-7 0-3 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -4 -
J. Isenbarger 28 2-7 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 4 4 -
E. Edomwonyi 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 4 5 -
R. Winters 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
B. Ervin 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Blake 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Bonney 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Dugas 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Smith 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. White 0 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 8 4 0 2 9 14 -
B. Rountree 0 5-8 1-2 4-4 3 1 3 0 2 15 12 -
C. Wood 0 3-11 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 8 0 -
K. Gross 0 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 3 1 8 14 -
C. Shegog 0 5-11 0-0 1-3 12 2 1 2 2 11 15 -
D. Strickland * 25 4-9 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 1 2 10 5 -
T. Zeller * 22 6-12 0-0 7-8 13 0 1 1 2 19 20 -
K. Marshall * 22 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 8 3 0 1 8 18 -
H. Barnes * 20 7-12 1-2 3-3 5 5 1 1 0 18 18 -
J. Henson * 16 8-15 0-0 0-1 11 0 2 2 0 16 16 -
R. Bullock Jr. 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
P.J. Hairston 19 2-11 1-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 5 -2 -
J. McAdoo 17 3-8 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
D. Hubert 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Watts 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 5 9 -
S. White 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Simmons 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Dupont 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
P. Crouch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter