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2012-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dulkys * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 16 22 -
L. Loucks * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 13 0 0 6 10 23 -
M. Snaer * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 18 22 -
B. James * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 5 1 9 21 -
X. Gibson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
I. Miller 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 10 11 -
O. White 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
J. Kreft 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 9 14 -
J. Peterson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Whisnant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 2 15 24 -
T. Zeller * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 1 19 30 -
H. Barnes * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 23 28 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 7 16 -
J. McAdoo * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 4 1 0 4 17 -
P.J. Hairston 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 15 -
J. Watts 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
D. Hubert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter