Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gross | 0 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Rountree | 0 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Wood | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Henson * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 26 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hines-Allen | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Tellier | 0 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| A. Wilson | 0 | 3-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -7 | - |
| A. Fenyn | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Hadley | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Eddie * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| E. Green * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Brown * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| V. Davila * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Finney-Smith * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Hudson | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Raines | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Rankin | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Barksdale | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter