Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Strickland * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Henson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Hubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 28 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| B. Wood * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Appling * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Thornton | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Trice II | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Nix | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A. Gauna | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter