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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% -
Log Adjusted 87.1% 12.9% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 38 0-6 0-4 5-6 2 9 1 0 2 5 9 -
J. Henson * 36 6-14 0-0 2-2 11 2 1 3 1 14 16 -
H. Barnes * 32 9-19 3-7 2-3 6 2 0 0 0 23 12 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 31 4-10 2-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 10 6 -
T. Zeller * 29 4-13 0-0 1-4 8 2 3 1 0 9 10 -
J. McAdoo 15 0-1 0-0 4-6 3 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
J. Watts 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
P.J. Hairston 8 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
S. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kadji * 35 5-16 1-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
D. Scott * 33 7-12 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 15 7 -
R. Johnson * 26 3-7 1-1 4-4 9 1 0 1 1 11 14 -
M. Grant * 19 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 3 -3 -
S. Larkin * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. McKinney-Jones 29 4-9 3-5 0-0 3 2 3 0 4 11 6 -
R. Brown 28 2-7 1-5 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Jones 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
R. Akpejiori 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter