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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 39 6-20 3-11 3-6 4 4 0 0 0 18 6 -
J. Gasser * 35 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
R. Evans * 34 5-13 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 3 1 10 6 -
J. Berggren * 31 6-12 2-5 0-0 5 1 3 1 2 14 10 -
M. Bruesewitz * 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Brust 23 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 3 0 0 9 6 -
F. Kaminsky 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Wilson 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 38 0-3 0-1 4-6 4 7 0 0 4 4 8 -
T. Zeller * 35 3-5 0-0 6-6 7 0 0 0 0 12 14 -
J. Henson * 34 4-9 0-0 0-2 17 2 1 5 2 8 22 -
H. Barnes * 33 6-12 2-3 6-7 3 0 1 0 3 20 9 -
D. Strickland * 24 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 9 3 -
R. Bullock Jr. 18 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
P.J. Hairston 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
J. McAdoo 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Watts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter