Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.6 | ✓ (25.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +49 (97-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan * | 32 | 1-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Holmes * | 25 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Harris * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Peeler * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Cox | 20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Jahr | 20 | 1-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10 | - |
| L. Jones | 19 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | - |
| J. Moore | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Nelson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Sawvell | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Cesnulevicius | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Chinn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Marshall * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Henson * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 17 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Hubert | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. White | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Watts | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| P. Crouch | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Cooper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dupont | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter