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2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Log Adjusted 9.3% 90.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 3 16 24 -
A. Marshall * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 13 20 -
C. Stanback * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 28 41 -
M. Moser * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 18 6 0 0 4 16 36 -
B. Massamba * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
J. Hawkins 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 9 13 -
Q. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
K. Wallace 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 11 18 -
K. Marshall * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 8 0 0 2 7 17 -
H. Barnes * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 15 20 -
D. Strickland * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 12 17 -
T. Zeller * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 5 11 -
R. Bullock Jr. 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 8 12 -
J. McAdoo 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 6 15 -
P.J. Hairston 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 15 16 -
J. Watts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter