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2012-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 11.3% 88.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 35 8-19 1-4 3-4 9 1 1 0 3 20 9 -
G. Gibbs * 32 0-4 0-0 2-2 10 4 2 1 1 2 14 -
A. Young * 31 4-12 0-0 2-3 1 4 2 0 2 10 3 -
G. Echenique * 27 6-9 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 12 10 -
J. Manigat * 23 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Jones 16 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
E. Wragge 15 3-8 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
A. Chatman 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Dingman 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
R. Ferrarini 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Stormberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Artino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Dorwart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Crouch 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Marshall * 36 7-8 1-2 3-6 4 11 0 1 4 18 22 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 32 5-7 3-5 0-2 8 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
H. Barnes * 31 7-19 3-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 17 3 -
J. Henson * 28 5-13 0-0 3-3 10 2 1 4 1 13 16 -
T. Zeller * 25 4-7 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 0 11 11 -
J. McAdoo 24 4-8 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 3 0 9 10 -
P.J. Hairston 16 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. White 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Watts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter