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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% -
Bradley-Terry 6.9% 93.1% -
Margin 1.8% 98.2% +21.9 (6.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Williamson * 28 5-9 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
J. Trice * 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Milum * 21 3-12 2-9 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 8 0 -
M. Neal * 18 6-12 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 1 0 15 11 -
B. Okam * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 3 -
O. Carter 28 7-15 2-3 5-7 7 2 0 0 3 21 12 -
I. Butts 21 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
G.J. Vilarino 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 5 7 -
T. Hamilton 10 2-4 1-1 6-6 0 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
N. Healy 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 5 8 -
P. Hausley 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
M. Woods 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 29 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 13 0 0 2 4 11 -
J. Henson * 26 7-10 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 1 2 17 12 -
T. Zeller * 26 11-15 0-0 9-10 10 1 1 0 0 31 28 -
H. Barnes * 26 4-12 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 9 3 -
D. Strickland * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
R. Bullock Jr. 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
J. McAdoo 14 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 6 7 -
P.J. Hairston 13 0-2 0-2 10-12 3 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
D. Hubert 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 2 2 2 2 -
J. Watts 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. White 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Crouch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter