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2012-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 1.4% 98.6% -
Bradley-Terry 1.6% 98.4% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Taylor * 36 10-19 0-5 2-4 6 5 5 0 3 22 16 -
T. Releford * 36 4-6 1-2 2-4 3 0 2 0 1 11 9 -
E. Johnson * 35 3-11 2-5 2-3 4 5 1 0 2 10 7 -
T. Robinson * 32 6-16 1-1 5-5 9 1 0 0 1 18 11 -
J. Withey * 28 5-5 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 3 0 15 21 -
K. Young 18 0-4 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
C. Teahan 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Wesley 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Barnes * 36 5-14 0-5 3-5 4 4 0 0 3 13 4 -
T. Zeller * 34 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 4 2 12 10 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 31 2-6 1-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
S. White * 28 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 7 1 0 0 4 9 -
J. Henson * 25 5-12 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 10 2 -
J. McAdoo 19 6-8 0-0 3-3 4 0 2 1 0 15 14 -
P.J. Hairston 15 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Watts 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter