NC State Wolfpack
2009 Team Stats (7 games)
70.0
PPG
78.7
Opp
-8.7
Margin
43.1%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
34.1
RPG
14.3
APG
14.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.6
Adj PPG
64.0
Adj Opp PPG
#76
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 979 (#208) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.2 (#75) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.0 (#76) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#105) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.811 (#74) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.815 (#73) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.665 (#76) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.583 (#99) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.668 (#88) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.653 (#94) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1122 (#89) | RD 133 | GP 30 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.