Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Costner | 30 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. McCauley | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Fells | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| F. Degand | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Thomas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Mays | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Horner | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Henderson | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Smith | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| K. Singler | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. McClure | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| G. Paulus | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Thomas | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pocius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter