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2009-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% -
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 37 9-17 3-7 6-7 6 2 0 0 5 27 13 -
B. Asbury 32 4-10 0-2 3-5 2 1 4 0 0 11 8 -
L. Hurdle 31 1-5 0-1 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Collins 30 8-11 0-0 2-7 6 2 1 0 2 18 14 -
A. Thomas 29 5-8 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 14 8 -
J. Dews 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Graham 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Jones 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gamble 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. McGowan 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McCauley 42 6-10 0-0 0-1 7 3 2 0 2 12 12 -
B. Costner 38 8-16 3-9 2-2 2 4 0 1 1 21 11 -
C. Fells 36 7-15 6-9 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 24 12 -
F. Degand 34 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 7 1 2 2 7 13 -
D. Horner 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 5 3 -
T. Smith 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
J. Mays 11 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
T. Ferguson 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
S. Harris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter