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2009-02-08

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fells 41 5-11 1-4 6-6 7 2 2 1 3 17 15 -
B. McCauley 41 6-12 0-0 13-15 15 2 0 1 3 25 28 -
J. Gonzalez 36 3-9 2-6 1-4 0 6 1 0 5 9 2 -
B. Costner 35 4-9 1-2 4-5 5 1 0 1 5 13 6 -
D. Horner 29 3-5 1-2 0-2 2 0 2 1 1 7 6 -
T. Smith 22 5-5 0-0 3-5 2 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
C.J. Williams 12 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
J. Mays 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 -1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.D. Vassallo 43 10-17 0-3 4-4 7 2 1 2 1 24 18 -
M. Delaney 43 3-12 1-2 11-11 2 4 1 0 5 18 8 -
J. Allen 34 8-13 1-2 4-8 8 1 3 2 4 21 18 -
J. Thompson 29 5-10 0-0 2-3 3 0 3 0 2 12 6 -
T. Bell 25 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 3 2 1 0 4 9 -
C. Diakite 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
D. Hudson 15 2-4 1-3 3-4 1 1 0 1 2 8 5 -
H. Thorns 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
V. Davila 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Witcher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter