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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Costner 36 4-13 2-6 0-0 7 4 1 3 1 10 11 -
B. McCauley 34 6-9 0-0 0-1 8 2 2 0 0 12 15 -
C.J. Williams 24 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -4 -
C. Fells 23 3-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
J. Gonzalez 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 6 0 0 3 8 4 -
D. Horner 22 3-4 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 11 -
T. Smith 20 7-11 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 18 11 -
F. Degand 19 5-8 0-3 2-4 1 5 0 0 2 12 8 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 33 12-16 0-1 4-5 18 2 0 1 2 28 31 -
J. Teague 33 3-12 0-3 6-7 2 4 0 1 3 12 4 -
L.D. Williams 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 2 1 -
C. McFarland 29 7-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 2 4 15 13 -
I. Smith 25 6-8 2-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 18 12 -
A. Aminu 24 0-6 0-3 3-4 8 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
G. Clark 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
T. Woods 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Weaver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter