Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 39 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Tucker | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Baker | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Jones | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Scott | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Sene | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Diane | 15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Soroye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Tat | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McCauley | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Fells | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Horner | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| B. Costner | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1 | - |
| F. Degand | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 17 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| S. Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter