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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 39 4-14 2-4 6-9 8 6 2 0 3 16 15 -
J. Tucker 29 3-6 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
C. Baker 27 4-10 1-3 4-4 2 5 3 0 3 13 10 -
J. Jones 24 4-9 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 9 2 -
M. Scott 23 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 3 8 3 -
A. Sene 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
M. Diane 15 5-6 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
S. Zeglinski 13 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
T. Soroye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Tat 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Farrakhan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McCauley 33 4-10 0-0 2-2 10 3 0 2 1 10 14 -
C. Fells 31 2-5 0-2 5-6 4 3 1 2 1 9 13 -
D. Horner 27 3-5 3-5 3-5 1 0 0 1 1 12 8 -
T. Smith 27 5-7 0-0 3-6 7 2 1 0 3 13 13 -
B. Costner 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 4 0 0 -
J. Gonzalez 21 4-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 9 -1 -
F. Degand 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
C.J. Williams 17 6-8 4-6 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
S. Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter