Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (88-68). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrel Smith | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Troy Franklin | 35 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Josh Thornton | 33 | 7-14 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Brian Morris | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Junior Hairston | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Calvin Lee | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| David Brewster | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tony Durant | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Costner | 34 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Dennis Horner | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Fells | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Farnold Degand | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Julius Mays | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tracy Smith | 23 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Ben McCauley | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Simon Harris | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Enrico Kufuor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kendall Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter