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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Lipscomb Bisons NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% +10.2 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (78-58). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Lipscomb Bisons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adnan Hodzic 32 8-13 0-0 2-3 12 0 0 0 3 18 14 -
Brandon Brown 28 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
Michael Lusk 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 2 1 3 7 -
Michael Teller 27 0-9 0-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 1 -3 -
Jimmy Oden 26 1-5 0-0 4-6 0 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
Brian Wright 25 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
Josh Slater 25 6-13 0-1 1-1 1 0 2 0 3 13 0 -
Jordan Burgason 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ferguson 34 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 14 11 -
Brandon Costner 27 5-11 1-3 2-4 8 3 0 2 0 13 15 -
Ben McCauley 26 3-7 0-0 5-9 9 2 3 0 1 11 17 -
Julius Mays 24 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 7 1 0 0 9 12 -
Simon Harris 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
Johnny Thomas 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Farnold Degand 14 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
Dennis Horner 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Tracy Smith 13 4-9 0-0 1-3 5 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
Courtney Fells 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C.J. Williams 3 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Kendall Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter